Use Case

Departure Risk Analysis &
Succession Planning

Every engineering organization has key person dependencies. The question isn't whether they exist. It's whether you've identified them and planned for the inevitable.

Before They Give Notice, Know What's at Risk

ContributorIQ maps knowledge concentration across your entire codebase, so when a critical engineer resigns (or before they do), you know exactly:

  • Which repositories and systems are at risk
  • What knowledge needs to be transferred immediately
  • Who the best candidates are to take over ownership

Proactive Risk Identification

Bus Factor Dashboards

The bus factor measures how many contributors would need to leave before a project stalls. ContributorIQ calculates this for every repository using Degree of Authorship analysis.

A bus factor of 1 means a single departure will cause serious problems. Review your repositories sorted by bus factor to prioritize risk mitigation before anyone leaves.

Knowledge Distribution Heatmaps

The knowledge distribution matrix shows expertise levels across repositories and contributors. Look for:

  • Vertical stripes: A single contributor has high scores across many repositories, indicating a key person dependency
  • Horizontal stripes: A repository has high scores from only one contributor, meaning it has low bus factor
  • Sparse rows: Repositories with few experts, which are high-risk

Orphaned File Detection

Orphaned files have no active contributor with meaningful ownership. They represent code that nobody currently understands well. Track orphaned file counts over time, because increasing orphans indicate knowledge loss from previous departures that was never recovered.

Lifecycle Early Warnings

When a contributor's activity pattern shifts from "Peak" to "Winding Down," it often precedes resignation. ContributorIQ detects this pattern automatically based on:

  • Declining commit frequency compared to their historical baseline
  • Reduced breadth of repository involvement
  • Longer gaps between contributions

This isn't surveillance. It's pattern recognition that gives you time to have retention conversations or begin knowledge transfer.

Reactive Departure Planning

When You Receive a Resignation

The moment a critical engineer gives notice, run this workflow:

  1. 1 Review their contributor profile to see all repositories they've touched
  2. 2 Identify repositories where they're the primary or sole author (DOA > 0.75)
  3. 3 Check bus factor for those repositories because if it's 1, their departure makes it 0
  4. 4 Generate a knowledge transfer priority list based on file ownership
  5. 5 Identify successors such as "Ramping Up" or secondary contributors who could take ownership

Knowledge Transfer Prioritization

Not all knowledge is equally critical. Prioritize transfer based on:

  1. Repository importance (revenue-critical systems first)
  2. DOA concentration (files where departing engineer is the only expert)
  3. Recent activity (actively developed code over legacy systems)
  4. Orphan risk (files that will become orphaned after departure)

Organizational Resilience Metrics

Track these metrics quarterly to measure whether your organization is becoming more or less resilient:

Average Bus Factor

Across all repositories

% Repos with Bus Factor = 1

Critical risk indicator

Orphaned File Count

And trend over time

Gini Coefficient

Knowledge concentration measure

Organization Health Score

Composite resilience metric (0-100)

Improvement in these metrics means you're building a more resilient engineering organization, one that can absorb departures without crisis.

Planning for Unregrettable Departures

Performance issues and terminations are also departure events. When planning to exit an underperforming engineer:

  1. Assess their knowledge concentration before making the decision
  2. If they're a sole expert on critical systems, delay or plan extensive transition
  3. Identify knowledge transfer requirements to include in any separation timeline
  4. Monitor for work being concentrated in ways that create leverage
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